Executive reveals exit strategy
to ease UK out of lockdownA former WHO executive and Number 10 advisor has today revealed his four-step strategy to ease Britain out of its draconian coronavirus lockdown.Professor Karol Sikora, ex-director of the UN body's cancer unit and former member of the Department of Health's Expert Advisory Group on cancer, said the first step would be to let small businesses with fewer than 50 staff open again on April 27.
Downing Street should then allow all schools to reopen and ease social distancing measures rolled out across the UK on May 4, he said.
Offices, bars and restaurants could then open again on May 18, allowing millions of cooped up Brits to finally start enjoying their summer.
The final step ministers should take would be to ease restrictions on international travel and mass gatherings on June 1, Professor Sikora - who is an oncologist and not an epidemiologist (a scientist who specialises in disease outbreaks) - said.
In a message of hope to anxious Brits, he added that the lockdown is working and that 'we are flattening the curve'.
But Professor Sikora said we 'need to see an exit strategy' - and posted his opinion on 'how it could be done safely', which was praised by dozens of social media users for giving them a sense of relief.
He tweeted: 'With more testing, no mutation of the virus and compliance with the rules I think this is a feasible timetable.'
Professor Sikora warned his timeline is based on the outbreak peaking this weekend and people 'behaving themselves' and following the current rules.
Professor Karol Sikora, ex-director of the UN body's cancer unit, said the first step would be to let small businesses with fewer than 50 staff open again on April 27
Professor Karol Sikora, ex-director of the UN body's cancer unit, said the first step would be to let small businesses open again on April 27
LOCKDOWN IS WORKING King's College London scientists today suggested Number 10's lockdown is working, with figures showing suspected cases have plummeted in a week.
Data from a symptom-tracking app shows there are now around 1.4million Brits with tell-tale signs of the deadly infection - down from 1.9million on April 1.
KCL researchers, who developed the COVID Symptom Tracker app, say it suggests that people staying at home is starting to slow the outbreak down.
The app - downloaded by 2million Brits - works by the public filling out forms which describe their health and ask about possible coronavirus symptoms.
Healthy people, those who think they may have COVID-19, and those who have been officially diagnosed are all encouraged to take part in it.
One of the app's developers, Professor Tim Spector, said: 'It is really encouraging to see that the rate of new symptoms being reported is beginning to fall.
'Even though hospital admissions and deaths are still on the rise, we hope that these figures offer a much needed light at the end of the tunnel.
Professor Spector and his colleagues say that hospital admissions and deaths should start to fall in about two weeks as long as social distancing continues.
They believe the two week lag is caused by the delay between the start of symptoms and the illness becoming very severe.
Downing Street today announced the lockdown measures will be reviewed around the three-week mark on Easter Monday.
Number 10 imposed the strict measures on March 23, in a desperate attempt to slow the escalating crisis and get the outbreak under control.
Leading scientists believe the situation is now levelling off, with the number of new infections yesterday (3,634) being the lowest since March 31.
The UK's chief scientific adviser Sir Patrick Vallance last night sparked hope, saying it was possible the UK was 'beginning to see' the curve flattening.
But he added it would be another 'week or so' before they could be sure, indicating lockdown measures would not be eased before then.
And King's College London scientists today suggested the lockdown is working, with figures showing suspected cases have plummeted by 500,000 in a week.
But de-facto PM Dominic Raab warned 'taking our foot off the pedal' would be the 'worst thing' the country could do at this stage in the outbreak.
His concerns were echoed by the WHO's regional director for Europe this morning, who warned against lifting strict lockdowns imposed across the continent.
Dr Hans Kluge described the current situation as 'very concerning' and very clearly added: 'Now is not the time to relax measures.'
Around half of the 1.4million COVID-19 cases recorded around the world have been in Europe, with Spain, Italy, Germany, France and the UK the five hardest-hit nations.
Daily numbers of new patients also appears to be levelling off in Britain despite more people being tested than in the earlier stages of the outbreak.
The COVID Symptom Tracker works by taking people through a questionnaire about how they are feeling and whether they have the typical symptoms of coronavirus. Currently, tests are mostly being rationed to people who are in hospital
WHO EXPERT WARNS AGAINST LIFTING LOCKDOWNSA World Health Organization (WHO) expert today warned against lifting strict lockdowns in place across Europe and said it was 'dangerous' to think the crisis is slowing down.
Dr Hans Kluge, the UN body's regional director for Europe, described the current situation on the continent as 'very concerning', adding: 'Now is not the time to relax measures.'
Around half of the 1.4million COVID-19 cases recorded around the world have been in Europe, with Spain, Italy, Germany, France and the UK the five hardest-hit nations.
In a press briefing this morning, Dr Kluge said: 'To think we are coming close to an end point is a dangerous thing to do.
'The virus leaves no room for complacency. Relaxing lockdown measures requires careful consideration.'
He added the upcoming Easter weekend was 'not the time' to relax restrictions, despite the promise of good weather across much of Europe.
Dr Kluge said: 'This is not the time to lower our guard. We must soldier on. We are in this together and we will get through this together.'
There were 3,634 more positive tests announced yesterday - the lowest number for a week and a 40 per cent drop from the peak of 5,903 on Sunday.
The daily death toll hit a new record high of 786 yesterday, however, as infected Brits continue to die and confirmations filter through from the past fortnight.
Professor Sikora tweeted: 'If, as I believe, we have reached the peak of infections, the focus will soon turn to how we can safely escape the lockdown.
He warned 'extreme caution' would still be needed when the measures were lifted, in case the crisis began to accelerate again.
The last of his measures was the easing of restrictions against international travel - the Foreign Office currently advises against all but essential international travel.
Number 10 has yet to release an official exit strategy for Britain to get back on its feet and out of the lockdown.
Antibody tests are considered vital for getting the UK back on its feet and are now being used in Italy, one of the world's worst-hit nations.
The blood tests, which can confirm if someone has already had COVID-19 and could be immune, are different to the swabs currently being used by the NHS.
But none of the kits trialled by health chiefs have yet to be proved to be accurate enough for mass-use, the Government claims.
Britons praised Professor Sikora for sharing his plan, with one saying: 'This gives me hope from escaping this living hell.'
Another said: 'Even reading this gives a sense of relief and can make the lockdown a bit more bearable.'
One Twitter user described Professor Sikora - who labels himself an optimist - as an 'absolute breath of fresh air'.
Another social media user responded to his plan with: 'Can someone please appoint you as a Government advisor?'
It comes after a bleak prediction yesterday said the UK may suffer more than 60,000 coronavirus deaths and be hit harder than any nation in Europe.
University of Washington researchers estimated that Britain's death toll would be at least three times more than Italy because of its shortage of hospital beds.
But the alarming projection does not take into account the thousands of beds that will become available at the new NHS Nightingale hospitals.
The number is also in stark contrast to the prediction by the UK's scientific advisers, who warned around 20,000 people will die during the crisis.
The University of Washington prediction also said April 17 would be the day with the highest number of deaths in the UK (2,932).
In other promising developments in the pandemic, Wuhan - the Chinese city where the crisis began in December - today lifted its lockdown.
People living in the city, home to 11million people, were allowed to travel elsewhere for the first time since it was sealed off on January 23.
Downing Street DELAYS decision on ending lockdown: Stay-at-home rules could go on for weeks amid claims coronavirus peak is still a week-and-a-half away - but some ministers hint schools could reopen after Easter
WILL OUTBREAK PEAK THIS WEEKEND?Health Secretary Matt Hancock said last Friday the deadliest peak of Britain's coronavirus outbreak could be on Easter Sunday.
When asked about reports that the death rate could peak on April 12, Hancock told Sky: 'I defer to the scientists on the exact predictions, I'm not going to steer you away from that. That is one perfectly possible outcome.'
There was a glimmer of hope this week when daily death rates fell for two days in a row, leaving some thinking the UK was past its peak already.
But today that number spiked again to more than 900 new deaths in a single day.
And Sir Patrick Vallance, the UK's Chief Science Adviser, said on March 30 that the lockdown measures were already working but that the worst was still to come.
Modelling by researchers at the University of Washington predicts the UK will hit its peak on April 17, a week on Friday.
Fears over a power vacuum at the heart of government were fuelled today as the coronavirus lockdown looks set to stretch on for weeks.
Downing Street has confirmed the draconian restrictions will not be reconsidered on Easter Monday as scheduled, with warnings the peak of the outbreak might not come for another week and a half.
London Mayor Sadiq Khan said today that the UK was 'nowhere near' lifting the controls, while Welsh ministers disclosed their lockdown will stay in place longer. The World Health Organisation has also offered a dire warning about the 'dangerous' consequences of relaxing too early.
However, ministers have suggested they are keen for schools to reopen after Easter if the situation does stabilise, with claims they have little impact on the spread and could help revive the crippled economy.
Boris Johnson is 'stable' and 'responding to treatment' after a second night in intensive care, with his fever said to have dipped as he remains under constant observation at St Thomas' in central London.
However, there are fears that even the best outcome from his coronavirus struggle will see him out of action for weeks, with experts warning he could need a 'phased return' to work.
Foreign Secretary Dominic Raab has been 'deputised' to fill in for the PM, but the potential issues caused by Mr Johnson's absence have been underlined as the crucial review of lockdown measures was postponed.
Downing Street merely said there will be a review 'on or around' the three-week mark - with the law requiring a technical extension by April 16.
On another rollercoaster day of developments in the crisis engulfing the globe:
The streets around Westminster were deserted today as Britons obeyed the orders from the government to stay at home
Residents in Brighton were watching the world go by from behind glass as the lockdown looks set to continue for weeks
Foreign Secretary Dominic Raab (pictured in Whitehall today) has been 'deputised' to fill in for the PM, and chaired the government's daily coronavirus meeting this morning
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